Tesla went nowhere for six years, then rose about 16 times. BRAC Bank’s shares are up 163% in three years, it is one of the strongest banks in a stressed sector — and it owns 51% of Bangladesh’s biggest fintech. On the numbers, the market still seems to be paying very little for the bank itself.
By Wasif Zaman, DMD, Mika Securities · 14 October 2026 · 12 min read
Great investments rarely look great at the moment you can buy them cheaply. They look boring, stuck, or misunderstood. The investors who win are usually the ones who did their homework early and then had the patience to wait while everyone else lost interest.
This article looks at two stories side by side: Tesla in the United States between 2014 and 2020, and BRAC Bank’s ownership of bKash here in Bangladesh today. One is history. The other is still unfolding on the Dhaka Stock Exchange.
01Tesla, 2014–2015: the “dead money” years
In 2014 and 2015 Tesla was a small carmaker selling a few tens of thousands of cars a year, burning cash and widely doubted. Its share price barely moved for years. Many investors gave up and sold.
~50,600Cars delivered by Tesla in 2015
~499,600Cars delivered in 2020 — about 10x more
~$15 → ~$235Year-end share price, 2014 to 2020 (split-adjusted)
~16xGrowth of money invested at end-2014, by end-2020
Tesla year-end share price, 2014–2020
US$, adjusted for the 2020 (5-for-1) and 2022 (3-for-1) stock splits. Six flat years, then one explosive one.
$15
$16
$14
$21
$22
$28
$235
2014201520162017201820192020
The waiting years2020: the market catches up
What changed was not the story — it was the proof. Deliveries grew year after year, the company turned profitable, and in December 2020 Tesla joined the S&P 500. Investors who understood the business in 2014–2015 already had the information. What they needed was patience.
The lesson: a business can be quietly compounding its value for years while its share price sits still. When the market finally recognises it, the re-rating often happens fast — and only investors who already own the shares benefit.
The honest caveat: Tesla came close to serious trouble in 2018–2019 during its production struggles. Hindsight makes it look obvious; it wasn’t. Many “undervalued” stories never re-rate. That is why position size and diversification matter.
02BRAC Bank: a strong bank that has already rewarded patience
Before we get to bKash, look at the bank itself. BRAC Bank has quietly been one of the DSE’s better long-term holdings — and its business numbers explain why.
BRAC Bank share price change
Price change to 13 October 2026; dividends are extra on top
1 year
+11%
3 years
+163%
5 years
+138%
Over the last year BRAC Bank returned 11.1% to shareholders, against 7.5% for Bangladeshi banks overall and −3.1% for the wider market. Since listing, the share price is up more than 1,400%.
Tk 2,251 crRecord 2025 net profit, up 57% — the first local private bank above Tk 2,000 crore
2.27%BRAC Bank’s bad-loan (NPL) ratio, vs above 30% for the banking sector
+27.5%Deposit growth in 2025, vs 11.5% for the industry
30%Dividend for 2025 (15% cash + 15% stock), its highest since listing
Two more facts set it apart. BRAC Bank is described as the only Bangladeshi bank rated internationally by both S&P Global and Moody’s. And its net asset value per share rose from Tk 39.38 to Tk 51.56 in a single year — the kind of steady book-value compounding that long-term investors look for.
Strong in a weak sector: Bangladesh has more than 60 banks, but only a small group are healthy and growing; many others are under Bangladesh Bank restrictions on lending and dividends. With sector-wide bad loans above 30%, BRAC Bank’s 2.27% puts it firmly in the strongest tier.
03bKash: Bangladesh’s quiet compounder
bKash started in 2010 as a joint venture between BRAC Bank and Money in Motion LLC. Fifteen years later it is woven into everyday life — salaries, school fees, shop payments and remittances. And unlike many fintechs worldwide, it is profitable and growing.
8.2 croreVerified registered customers (end-2025)
4.7 croreActive customers, transacting in the last 3 months
Tk 661 crRecord net profit in 2025
+40%Net profit growth in Jan–Mar 2026 (Tk 184 crore)
Who owns bKash
BRAC Bank
51.00%
Money in Motion
16.45%
Alipay (Ant)
14.87%
IFC (World Bank)
10.36%
SoftBank (SVF II)
7.32%
Look at who sits next to BRAC Bank on that list: Alibaba’s payments arm, the World Bank’s investment arm and SoftBank. Some of the most demanding technology investors in the world paid real dollars to own minority slices of bKash. BRAC Bank owns the controlling majority — and a DSE investor can buy into that stake through an ordinary BO account.
04The sum-of-the-parts maths
Here is a simple way to test whether the market is giving BRAC Bank credit for bKash. Value the bKash stake on its own, subtract it from BRAC Bank’s market value, and see what is left for the bank.
Item
Basis
Value
bKash value
“Above $1.2 billion”, per BRAC Bank’s CEO (June 2026)
≈ Tk 14,775 cr
BRAC Bank’s 51% stake
51% × $1.2bn at Tk 123.13/$
≈ Tk 7,535 cr
BRAC Bank market cap
Tk 66.10 per share, 13 Oct 2026
≈ Tk 15,134 cr
Implied value of the bank alone
Market cap minus bKash stake
≈ Tk 7,600 cr
What a BRAC Bank share is really made of
Market value split, using the bKash valuation above
bKash stake ≈ 50%
The whole bank ≈ 50%
In other words: roughly half of every taka you pay for a BRAC Bank share is backed by its bKash stake alone.
That leftover Tk 7,600 crore has to pay for one of the country’s largest private banks — its loan book, deposit franchise, SME network and branches. BRAC Bank’s total trailing profit is around Tk 2,268 crore. Even after stripping out roughly Tk 337 crore attributable to bKash (51% of its 2025 profit), the market is pricing the core bank at about 4 times its earnings. The whole group trades at 6.7x earnings and 1.3x book value.
Why the gap may exist: bKash is not separately listed, so there is no daily price reminding investors what it is worth. Its profits are consolidated into BRAC Bank’s accounts and blend into “bank earnings”. Value that is not visible on a ticker screen is easy to overlook — just as Tesla’s progress was easy to overlook while the share price stood still.
05Why strong banks will keep getting stronger
When a banking sector is under stress, money does not disappear — it moves. Depositors, businesses and remitters shift towards the institutions they trust. That is exactly what BRAC Bank’s 2025 numbers show: deposits growing at more than twice the industry rate while bad loans stay a fraction of the sector average.
The flywheel
Trust attracts cheaper deposits
Cheaper funding lets it lend to the best borrowers
Better borrowers mean fewer bad loans and higher profit
Higher profit builds capital — and more trust
Where the growth comes from
Management targets more than 10% market share
bKash’s 8 crore customers feed digital banking
Over 20 lakh SME entrepreneurs financed so far
Foreign trade of $7.12bn — 6–7% of national trade
Meanwhile, weaker banks that cannot lend or pay dividends lose customers, talent and market share every quarter. As the sector consolidates, the gap between the strongest few and the rest is likely to widen — and the strongest few are where the market’s future profits will concentrate.
06The case — and the risks
What could unlock the value
bKash profit growth continuing (+40% in Q1 2026)
A new funding round or stake sale that sets a fresh, higher price for bKash
Any future bKash IPO, which would put a visible market value on the stake
BRAC Bank itself growing strongly — Q2 2026 profit rose 90% year-on-year
What could go wrong
The $1.2bn figure is management’s view, not a recent transaction price
Holding companies usually trade at a discount; it may never fully close
Regulation of mobile financial service fees could squeeze bKash margins
Competition from Nagad, bank apps and other MFS providers
Wider banking-sector stress and asset-quality risk in Bangladesh
Tesla and BRAC Bank are two examples of a pattern that shows up again and again in decades of market data: wealth is built by owning shares and holding them, not by keeping money idle in cash or jumping in and out of the market.
94%of the UK’s ISA millionaires built their wealth in stock-market accounts only; the rest mixed in some cash
91%of 10-year periods since 1899 in which UK shares beat cash (Barclays Equity Gilt Study)
1 in 18 yrsOver 18-year holding periods, cash has beaten shares only once
~22 yrsAverage time a UK ISA millionaire took to reach £1 million — patience, not luck
The cost of jumping out of the market
$10,000 in the S&P 500, January 2005 – December 2024 (J.P. Morgan Asset Management)
Stayed invested
$71,750
Missed 10 best days
$32,871
Missed 60 best days
$4,712
Seven of the 10 best days came within two weeks of one of the 10 worst. Investors who sell in panic usually miss the rebound.
The trader
Over the 20 years to 2024, the average US equity fund investor — buying and selling on emotion — earned 9.24% a year, against 10.35% for simply holding the S&P 500. That gap left the patient holder about 22% richer.
The cash saver
UK cash savings accounts averaged around 1% a year over the past decade, against roughly 9% for stock-market accounts. After inflation, cash quietly loses buying power year after year.
For Bangladeshi investors: the same logic applies at home. Savings certificates and FDRs have their place for safety and liquidity, but over long periods it is ownership of growing businesses — strong banks, leading fintechs, quality companies on the DSE — that compounds wealth. The key is choosing strong businesses and giving them time.
08What this means for a Bangladeshi investor
The Tesla story is not a promise that BRAC Bank’s share price will multiply. It is a reminder of how long-term wealth is usually made: by owning good businesses whose value is growing faster than the market notices, and by being patient enough to still own them when it finally does.
A few practical habits follow from that:
Look through the ticker. Ask what a company actually owns — subsidiaries, stakes and assets that may not show up in a simple P/E.
Think in years, not days. Re-ratings like Tesla’s came after long, boring stretches. Selling during the boring part is how most investors miss the reward.
Size positions sensibly. No single idea should decide your financial future. Diversify across sectors.
Review the facts regularly. Track bKash’s quarterly results, any new valuation events and BRAC Bank’s asset quality.
Research smarter. Invest for the long run.
Open a BO account with Mika Securities and trade DSE stocks from your phone with Amar Biniyog. Our team across 26 offices nationwide is here to help.
Tesla deliveries and share prices: Tesla annual reports and public market data (year-end closes, split-adjusted)
Sum-of-the-parts figures are Mika Securities’ own calculations from the sources above and are approximate.
Disclaimer: This article is for education and general information only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing in the capital market involves risk, including the loss of capital; past performance, including the Tesla example, does not guarantee future results. Please do your own research or consult a qualified adviser before investing. [DISCLOSURE: state whether Mika Securities, its directors or the author hold BRAC Bank shares.]
Investing in the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) can be a rewarding way to grow your wealth, but it’s essential to approach it with a clear strategy and a good understanding of the process. This guide provides a simple, step-by-step roadmap for beginners to start their investment journey in Bangladesh.
Step 1: Lay the Foundation and Set Your Goals
Before you open an account, you need to prepare yourself financially and mentally.
Define Your Investment Goals: What are you saving for? Is it retirement, a down payment on a house, or a child’s education? Your goals will influence your investment strategy, risk tolerance, and time horizon.
Establish an Emergency Fund: Ensure you have a financial safety net in place. This fund should be enough to cover several months of living expenses in case of an unexpected event, so you don’t have to sell your investments at an unfavorable time.
Pay Off High-Interest Debt: If you have high-interest debt, such as credit card balances, it’s often more financially sound to pay that off first. The interest you pay on the debt is likely to be higher than the returns you’d get from investing.
Understand Your Risk Tolerance: The stock market is volatile. Understand how much risk you are comfortable with and choose investments that align with that level of risk.
Step 2: Open a Beneficiary Owners (BO) Account
A BO account is a mandatory dematerialized account that holds your shares electronically. It is the first and most crucial step to start trading.
Choose a Brokerage House: Research and select a brokerage firm (known as a “stock broker”) that is a member of the DSE. Many brokerage houses in Bangladesh now offer online account opening and trading services, making the process much easier. Look for a firm with a good reputation, a user-friendly trading platform (mobile app or web-based), and responsive customer support.
Gather Required Documents: You will need a set of documents for the BO account opening. The requirements may vary slightly between brokerage houses, but generally include:
National ID (NID) card or passport.
Two passport-sized photographs of the applicant.
Bank account details (a copy of a cancelled cheque or a bank statement).
Nominee’s photo and NID (if you choose to have one).
TIN (Taxpayer Identification Number) is not mandatory for account opening but is required to avoid paying a higher tax rate on dividends and capital gains.
Fill Out the Form: Complete the BO account opening form provided by the brokerage house. This can often be done online through their website or app.
Pay the Fees: There are usually one-time and annual fees for opening and maintaining a BO account. These fees cover the charges from the brokerage house and the Central Depository Bangladesh Limited (CDBL).
Step 3: Fund Your Account
Once your BO account is active, you need to deposit money into it to buy shares.
Deposit Funds: You can typically transfer money to your BO account in several ways, including online bank transfers (BEFTN, NPSB), mobile money services (bKash, Nagad), or by visiting the brokerage house’s branch.
Minimum Deposit: The amount you can start with can vary. While you can start with any amount, it’s often recommended to have at least BDT 20,000 to 30,000 to apply for Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) and trade in the secondary market.
Step 4: Research and Select Stocks
This is where your investment journey truly begins.
Do Your Homework: Before buying any stock, research the companies you are interested in. Look at their financial statements, earnings reports, and the overall industry outlook.
Understand the Market: Pay attention to DSE market trends, daily gainers and losers, and sector performance. Follow financial news and analyses to stay informed.
Consider Diversification: Don’t put all your money into a single stock. Diversifying your investments across different companies and sectors can help reduce your risk.
Use Analysis Tools: Utilize fundamental analysis (looking at a company’s financial health) and technical analysis (studying price charts and market data) to make informed decisions.
Step 5: Place Your First Trade
Use the Trading Platform: After choosing a stock, you can place a buy order through your brokerage’s online trading platform or mobile app. You can also place an order by calling your broker’s authorized representative.
Understand Order Types: Learn about different types of orders (e.g., market order, limit order) to execute your trades effectively.
Track Your Portfolio: Once you have bought shares, regularly monitor their performance. Review your portfolio periodically to see if you need to make any adjustments.
Key Investment Tips for Beginners
Start Small: Don’t invest a large sum of money all at once. Start with an amount you are comfortable with and gradually increase your investment as you gain experience and confidence.
Invest for the Long Term: The stock market is not a get-rich-quick scheme. Focus on long-term growth rather than short-term gains, and be patient through market fluctuations.
Avoid “Hot Tips”: Never invest based on rumors or unverified information. Always do your own research before making a decision.
Continuous Learning: The market is dynamic. Stay informed by reading financial news, books, and articles to improve your knowledge and skills.
Bangladesh and India have embarked on a collaborative effort to enhance trade routes by utilizing each other’s ports for third-country trade. A delegation from Dhaka set out on Saturday to inspect Indian ports and engage with relevant authorities as part of this initiative.
Currently, Bangladesh exports goods via ports in Singapore, Sri Lanka, and Malaysia but eyes utilizing Indian ports in Tamil Nadu’s Chennai, Andhra Pradesh’s Visakhapatnam and Krishnapatnam, and West Bengal’s Haldia. India, in turn, plans to utilize Chattogram Port in Bangladesh for its own trade with third countries.
The 16-member delegation, led by SM Mostafizur Rahman from Bangladesh’s shipping ministry, includes representatives from shipping, commerce, foreign affairs ministries, and various trade bodies. They are scheduled to stay in India from July 6-12, visiting multiple ports and engaging in discussions with stakeholders.
India and Bangladesh have existing transhipment agreements allowing Bangladesh to use Indian infrastructure for exports to Nepal and Bhutan. Now, India seeks to export goods or facilitate imports through Chattogram Port’s Bay Terminal, currently under construction.
This bilateral effort follows high-level approvals and agreements reached during talks between Dhaka and New Delhi in December 2023. It involves reciprocal visits, with India planning to send its own delegation to Bangladesh after the current visit.
The Bay Terminal project at Chattogram Port, initiated a decade ago, aims to significantly expand port capabilities. Recently approved funding from the World Bank underscores its importance in regional trade dynamics. Scheduled for completion by 2027, it is expected to bolster logistics capacity for both countries, ensuring mutual economic benefits without favoring one nation over the other.
Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina’s 2022 visit to India catalyzed discussions on leveraging Indian ports for Bangladeshi exports to third countries. The ongoing collaboration is set to enhance regional connectivity and economic opportunities through strategic port development and mutual cooperation agreements.
The Roads and Highways Department (RHD) is formulating a master plan to integrate the country’s road network through 12 expressway routes, aiming for enhanced internal and cross-border connectivity by 2041. This project, requiring an investment of Tk1.91 lakh crore ($17.28 billion), will expand 1,508km of roads.
Syed Moinul Hasan, RHD’s chief engineer, explained that the master plan aims to unify the nation’s highways into a cohesive network. The Asian Development Bank has drafted the “Highway Master Plan 2041,” and an implementation strategy will be developed once the draft is approved next year.
Funding and Implementation
The 12-expressway plan, spanning 10-12 years, requires annual funding of $1.5 billion. The government will prioritize public-private partnerships (PPP) for construction. Financing decisions will be managed by the Finance Division and the Economic Relations Division.
Previous efforts to construct expressways on the Dhaka-Chattogram route were abandoned due to high costs and the feasibility of a high-speed train line. Instead, the route was upgraded to a four-lane highway. Currently, the Dhaka-Bhanga expressway is the country’s sole access-controlled expressway, connecting the capital with southwestern regions via the Padma Bridge.
Expert Opinions and Future Prospects
Experts highlight the importance of such infrastructure for sustainable development. Neighboring countries implemented similar plans in the 80s/90s. Despite potential challenges, expressways are essential for Bangladesh’s growth.
The proposed expressways include:
Dhaka-Chattogram (and elevated)
Dhaka-Mymensingh
Dhaka-Sylhet
Dhaka Outer Ring Road
Dhaka-Bogura
Mirsharai-Cox’s Bazar (via Bangabandhu Tunnel)
Mymensingh-Bogura
Gabtoli to Paturia (upgrading existing)
Feni-Barishal
Paturia-Daulatadia
Jhenaidah-Khushtia-Dasuria
Dr. Mohammad Yunus of BIDS emphasizes the need for infrastructural changes to achieve developed country status. He suggests that while the current economic situation precludes big projects, the master plan should be prepared for future implementation.
Mohammad Emdad Ullah Mian of the Planning Commission calls for integrated master plans covering road, rail, rural roads, and waterways. Communication expert Md Shamsul Hoque of BUET supports the strategic shift from traditional highway construction to elevated ways, maximizing land use without requiring additional space.
Cross-Border Connectivity
The master plan predicts a nearly 350% growth in cross-border goods flow, supported by developing value chains. It will consider multiple highways linking sea and land ports with major border points, aligned with the South Asia Subregional Economic Cooperation (SASEC) initiative.
Previous and New Plans
Past plans, including a Dhaka-Chattogram expressway and elevated expressway, were scrapped due to high costs and the viability of high-speed trains. The new master plan is more inclusive, addressing both internal and cross-border connectivity.
Understanding Bangladesh’s economy requires a comprehensive view of remittance flows. While the formal sectors like manufacturing struggle, the rural economy thrives significantly due to remittances.
Estimating Remittance Inflows
Accurate data is challenging, but remittances play a critical role. Estimates suggest Bangladesh receives between $30 billion and $60 billion annually, with official channels accounting for about $25 billion. The informal ‘hundi’ system potentially handles between $5 billion and $35 billion. Estimations of the number of people sending remittances range from 10 to 15 million, with a high-end estimate of 15 million workers abroad.
According to the 2022 Household Income and Expenditure Survey (HIES) by BBS, 8.3% of households receive remittances. With 38.3 million households, this means about 3.2 million individuals are sending money home. The average remittance was Tk 257,000 ($3,000) annually, and recent bank estimates suggest this has increased to $4,000.
For 2022, with 15 million workers, remittances totaled $45 billion: $22 billion via banks and $23 billion through hundi. By 2024, with 15.5 million workers and an average remittance of $4,000, total remittances could reach $62 billion, with $24 billion through banks and $38 billion via hundi.
The Role of the Hundi System
The hundi system’s substantial role indicates more than half of remittances come through informal channels. The projected $62 billion in 2024 aligns closely with expected exports. The remittances help alleviate poverty and mitigate inflation’s effects, especially in rural areas where $50 billion is directed, versus $12 billion in urban areas.
Economic Implications
Adjusting the 2022 balance of payments reveals a different economic landscape. Under-invoicing of imports, estimated at 20%, adds $20 billion, and capital flight through hundi accounts for approximately $1 billion. This suggests a more robust economy than perceived, driven by significant remittance flows that benefit rural development and reduce unemployment.
Challenges of Under-Invoicing
Under-invoicing imports result in revenue loss, higher foreign exchange costs, and customs corruption. Despite ending the Pre-Shipment Inspection (PSI) program, under-invoicing remains prevalent, particularly with imports from China and India. The government loses revenue, and importers may choose costlier sources, depleting foreign exchange reserves.
Conclusion
Bangladesh’s economy is more resilient than often recognized, thanks to the massive influx of remittances. These funds support rural construction and goods purchases, creating a multiplier effect that boosts local economies. Despite challenges like high food inflation, remittances significantly enhance rural living standards and economic stability.
Record date : 05 September যাদের ৫০ হাজার টাকার ম্যাচুয়েট শেয়ার থাকবে তারাই শুধু আবেদন করতে পারবে।
LAST DATE TO BUY SHARE TO BECOME ELIGIBLE: SEPTEMBER 1, 2022 (BDT. 50,000)
১৯৮৮ সালে নাভানা ফার্মার সাধারণ উৎপাদন ইউনিট চালু হয়। ২০০৩ সালে ভেটেরিনারী প্রোডাকশন ইউনিট শুরু হয়। ২০০৯ সালে সেফালোস্পোরিন ইউনিট শুরু করা হয়, যা একটি উচ্চমানের সেফালোস্পেরিন সুবিধা নিশ্চিত করে এবং ২০১২ সালে svpo ইউনিট শুরু করা হয়। আর ২০১৩ সালে পেনিসিলিন ইউনিট এর নতুন সুবিধা শুরু করা হয়।
Face Value10/- premium+24=34 Tk
Cut off price 34tk)
সেকেন্ডারি ইনভেস্ট: 50000 Tk( Market price)
NRB ইনভেসমেন্ট 1,00000tk (Market price)
IPO আবেদনের জন্য : 10,000 Tk
RB জন্য : 30% Less : 24Tk
EPS : 2.39 Tk বিগত ৫ বছরের ভারিত গড় হারে শেয়ারপ্রতি মুনাফা (ইপিএস) ২.৫১৬ টাকা।
NAV : 43.53
IPO share Distribution : Book building
————————————————————————–
Institute (25%)
General (70%)
NRB (5%)
Total (100%)
পুঁজিবাজার নিয়ন্ত্রক সংস্থা বাংলাদেশ সিকিউরিটিজ অ্যান্ড এক্সচেঞ্জ কমিশনের (বিএসইসি) নির্দেশনা অনুসারে, কাট-অফ প্রাইসের চেয়ে ৩০ শতাংশ কম দামে আইপিওতে সাধারণ বিনিয়ােগকারীদের কাছে শেয়ার ২৪ টাকা বিক্রি করা হবে।
নাভানা ফার্মাসিউটিক্যালস আইপিওর মাধ্যমে
পুঁজিবাজার থেকে ৭৫ কাটি টাকা সংগ্রহ করবে । ১৫% শেয়ার প্লেসমেন্ট থাকবে ।
কোম্পানিটির ইস্যু ম্যানেজারের দায়িত্ব পালন করছে এশিয়ান টাইগার ক্যাপিটাল পার্টনার্স ইনভেস্টমেন্ট লিমিটেড ও ইবিএল ইনভেস্টমেন্ট লিমিটেড।
The profit margin of Marico Bangladesh Limited – an India-based multinational company – shrank in the March-June quarter – despite a 9% growth in revenue – due to a sharp rise in income tax expenses.
Following financial disclosures, its shares closed 0.58% or Tk14.1 lower at Tk2,418 each on the Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) on Wednesday.
Marico starts its financial year in March. According to its unaudited financials, the company’s profits before tax increased 4.52% compared to the same period in the previous year.
But its net profit declined 5% to Tk102.90 crore as income tax expenses rose 56%.
Based on three-month financials, Marico, which listed on Bangladesh’s stock exchanges in 2009, has recommended a 300% interim cash dividend for its shareholders.
After the board of directors’ meeting, the multinational company revealed its financials for the first quarter on the country’s premier bourse.
During the period, its revenue increased to Tk364.65 crore from Tk334.40 crore a year ago.
Marico started out in Bangladesh in 1999 with its flagship brand, Parachute Coconut Oil.
Since then, the company has expanded its business to 29 brands in personal care and food items, such as Saffola edible oil.
To meet the growing demand for coconut oil and food products, it invested Tk29.3 crore to increase the capacity of its factory in Gazipur and set up a new manufacturing line at the beginning of 2020.
It’s hard to overstate the importance of rice to the world.
As a staple food, over half of the global population depends on the crop as a major part of their diet. In fact, rice is considered a vital part of nutrition in much of Asia, Latin America, Africa, and the Caribbean, and is estimated to provide more than one-fifth of the calories consumed worldwide by humans.
This graphic highlights the world’s 10 biggest rice-producing countries, using 2019 production data from the UN’s FAOSTAT and the USDA.
Which Countries Produce the Most Rice?
With 756 million tonnes produced globally in 2019, rice is the world’s third-most produced agricultural crop behind sugarcane and corn (maize), which both have a wide variety of non-consumption uses.
Just 10 countries are responsible for a bulk of global rice production:
Country
Tonnes Rice Produced (2019)
% of Total
China
211.4M
28.0%
India
177.6M
23.5%
Indonesia
54.6M
7.2%
Bangladesh
54.6M
7.2%
Vietnam
43.4M
5.7%
Thailand
28.3M
3.7%
Myanmar
26.3M
3.5%
Philippines
18.8M
2.5%
Pakistan
11.1M
1.5%
Brazil
10.4M
1.4%
Others
119.0M
15.8%
Total
755.5M
100.0%
At the top of the charts are China (#1) and India (#2), which produced 389 million tonnes combined, accounting for more than half of global production.
They’re significantly ahead of #3 and #4 countries Indonesia and Bangladesh, which produced around 54.6 million tonnes each. Almost all of the top producers are located in Asia, with the exception of Brazil (#10).
Feeding A Growing World
With 84% of rice being harvested in just 10 countries, it’s clear that many countries globally must rely on imports to meet domestic demand.
In 2019, India, Thailand, Pakistan, and Vietnam were large net exporters of rice, shipping out nearly $16 billion of rice combined. Other countries including Iran, China, Saudi Arabia, and the Philippines consume above production numbers and rely on imports to meet their needs.
And not everything makes it from plant to table. In developing countries especially, estimates of 8–26% of rice are lost due to postharvest problems and poor infrastructure.
As the global population continues to grow, rice will continue to be a key source of calories around the world—and as our diets change, it’ll be interesting to see how that role shifts in the future.
Visualizing the Shift in Global Economic Power
As the post-pandemic recovery chugs along, the global economy is set to see major changes in the coming decades. Most significantly, China is forecast to pass the United States to become the largest economy globally.
The world’s economic center has long been drifting from Europe and North America over to Asia. This global shift was kickstarted by lowered trade barriers and greater economic freedom, which attracted foreign direct investment (FDI). Another major driving factor was the improvements in infrastructure and communications, and a general increase in economic complexity in the region.
Our visualization uses data from the 13th edition of World Economic League Table 2022, a forecast published by the Center for Economics and Business Research (CEBR).
When Will China Become the Largest Economic Power?
China is expected to surpass the U.S. by the year 2030. A faster than expected recovery in the U.S. in 2021, and China’s struggles under the “Zero-COVID” policies have delayed the country taking the top spot by about two years.
China has maintained its positive GDP growth due to the stability provided by domestic demand. This has proven crucial in sustaining the country’s economic growth. China’s fiscal and economic policy had focused on this prior to the pandemic over fears of growing Western trade restrictions.
India is Primed for the #3 Spot
India is expected to become the third largest country in terms of GDP with $10.8 trillion projected in 2031.
Looking back, India had a GDP of just $949 billion in 2006. Fast forward to today and India’s GDP has more than tripled, reaching $3.1 trillion in 2022. Over the next 15 years, it’s expected to triple yet again. What is behind this impressive growth?
For starters, the country’s economy had a lot more room to improve than other nations. Demographics are also working in the country’s favor. While the median age in many mature economies is shooting up, India has a youthful workforce. In fact, India’s median age is a full 20 years lower than Japan, which is currently the third largest economy.
Over the last 60 years, the service industry has boomed to around 55% of India’s GDP. Telecommunications, software, and IT generate most of the revenue in this sector. IT alone produces 10% of the country’s GDP. India’s large tech-savvy, English-speaking workforce has proved attractive for international companies like Intel, Google, Meta, Microsoft, IBM, and many others, while the domestic startup scene continues to boom.
The Indian government is also pursuing “production-linked incentives” (i.e. subsidies) for multinational companies looking to diversify their production away from China. If these incentives prove successful, more of the world’s solar panels and smartphones will be produced within India’s borders.
How Will the Global Economy Look in 2031?
By the year 2031, there will be major changes in the global economic power rankings.
As we said before: China will have become the world’s largest economy in terms of GDP and India will be the world’s third largest economy. Let’s also take a look at the top 10 economies by 2031.
Rank
Country
Region
Projected GDP in 2031 (in Trillions of USD)
1
China
Asia
$37.6
2
United States
North America
$35.4
3
India
Asia
$6.8
4
Japan
Asia
$6.4
5
Germany
Europe
$6.3
6
United Kingdom
Europe
$4.6
7
France
Europe
$4.2
8
Brazil
South America
$3.1
9
Canada
North America
$3.0
10
Italy
Europe
$3.0
Out of the top five economies, three are located in Asia: China, India, and Japan—a clear demonstration of how economic power is shifting towards large population centers in Asia.
Europe will have four countries in the top 10: Germany, the United Kingdom, France, and Italy. From South America, only Brazil appears in the top 10.
Under these projections, Russia sits outside the top 10 in 2031. Of course, it remains to be seen how crushing sanctions and global isolation will affect the economic trajectory of the country.
Now, the big question. Is it inevitable that China takes the top spot in the global economy as predicted by this forecast? The truth is that nothing is guaranteed. Other projections have modeled reasonable alternative scenarios for China’s economy. A debt crisis, international isolation, or a shrinking population could keep China’s economy in second place for longer than expected.